One of the many websites I visit is called http://www.ikitesurf.com
Go to whatever website or marine forecast works for you.
Check out the weather/wind for your area, and most of all,
check out the GUSTS. Wind by itself is no problem,...well up to about 25 knots,
it's those gusts and swirls that will get you every time.
Even if you've been sailing for many years, unless you can 'read' the water and wind
and 'see' the gusts coming, you'll go swimming more often than not.
So go out in 10 knots and some chop.... and like all of us, get wet and learn your
limits, and be safe.